Know what was reported.
Know what was calculated.
Harvest Tally presents official observations in context. Where a value is calculated, the formula and inputs are visible.
Reported values stay reported values.
Cash bids are taken from USDA AgTransport’s public Grain Prices dataset where the underlying source identifies a USDA AMS market report. Harvest Tally preserves the reported bid and unit. The observation date is the market report date; retrieval time only says when Harvest Tally last contacted the dataset. A cash bid is not an exchange futures quote.
Open USDA Grain PricesTraditional grain notation.
For grain cash bids, Harvest Tally converts a reported USD-per-bushel value to cents per bushel. If the cents convert exactly to eighths, the market list can display whole cents followed by an apostrophe and an eighth digit. A source value that does not convert exactly remains in its original dollar format, even when Traditional is selected. This is a display conversion, not an exchange settlement.
Estimated net price after freight.
Estimated net price = the latest eligible reported cash bid minus distance in miles multiplied by your freight assumption in dollars per bushel per mile. Distance is calculated from your chosen coordinates to the reporting location’s verified coordinates. It is straight-line distance, not a trucking route or freight quote.
No default freight rate is assumed. A number appears only after you supply a rate and both locations have verified coordinates. Check the bid date and market type before using an estimate in a negotiation.
Moving average.
The 20-observation moving average is the arithmetic mean of the latest 20 reported values at each date in the selected cash series. It begins once 20 observations exist. It does not fill missing days or predict the next bid.
Price spread.
On dates where two compatible reported markets both have observations, the spread is the selected market’s cash bid minus the comparison market’s cash bid. Both must use the same unit. Dates without both values are omitted. This is a cash-market difference, not a futures contract spread.
Seasonal view.
Each selected year is drawn on the same calendar-month-and-day axis using its actual reported observations and original unit. The most recent three years are selected initially; use the year controls to compare others. Dates are aligned to a leap-year calendar so February 29 is preserved. Harvest Tally does not average the years or fill missing observations. Lines connect reported observations and do not imply a reported value between them. This describes history; it is not a forecast.
Why It Moved.
A causal explanation is published only when a same-day official release contains directly comparable actual figures and a source clearly supports the connection to a price move. A coincident headline alone is not proof of cause. If the evidence is incomplete, Harvest Tally shows no explanation.
Harvest Tally does not generate editorial market opinion or infer causes from price changes alone.
Market outlook.
Harvest Tally does not predict prices. An exchange futures curve will appear only when a licensed feed with display rights is connected, and it will describe current market prices, not a guaranteed future outcome. A validated corn average-farm-price projection is read from the latest USDA ESMIS WASDE XML release. The display compares the two projection months for the same marketing year, labels the USDA release date and unit, and links to the exact XML. It is a USDA marketing-year projection, not a local cash bid or an Harvest Tally forecast. Other commodity projection charts remain empty until their source fields are validated.